…since World War II. We defined crime booms as crime rates that increase rapidly and exhibit a positive sustained change in direction. Based on our definition, we found that twelve…

…national violent and property crime rates. The researchers identified a small set of demographic, economic, and criminal-justice variables whose changes over nearly four decades closely track trends in crime. As…

…for violent crime and one for property crime. These proved very accurate in accounting for past trends, and were then applied to projecting crime rates through 2021. As well, the…

…of this study conclude that Illinois crime rates, which have been on the decline since the 1990s, will continue to decline in a fluctuating pattern, with moderate year-to-year changes. This…

…partner, is forming a Crime Trends Working Group to collect, analyze and decipher U.S crime data. The group will “probe the nation’s changing crime trends, attempt to better understand them,…

…created statistical models that retroactively “predicted” property and violent crime rates for past years with great accuracy and then used these models to forecast crime trends in the near future….

…two-day symposium, organized by the Center on Media, Crime and Justice at John Jay College, convened journalists, scholars, and policymakers from around the country to discuss emerging crime and violence…

…related to fear of crime as measured by people reporting that they were not going to go walk outside because they were worried about crime. At first, what we found…

…and Steve Messner’s seminal Crime and the American Dream. Rick was no mere statistician. He was an intellectual. His scholarly interests, and resulting contributions, were protean. Social inequality and crime,…

…analysis of differences in violent crime rates between United States and Japan, differences in both economic stress and social disorganization measures helped explain the differences in violent crime rates between…