At the Crossroads

New York City is at a crossroads moment.  

After decades of decline in violent crime in New York City, the last two years have seen a significant increase in homicides and shootings. The New York Police Department has reported that murders in the city rose to 462 in 2020—a 45-percent increase from 2019.  The city recorded 1,531 shootings in 2020—a 97-percent increase from the prior year. Is this the beginning of a trend that will lead us back to the “bad old days”? Is it just a COVID-related statistical blip that will soon be forgotten?

At the Crossroads, a year-long series by criminal justice expert and HFG Distinguished Fellow of Practice Greg Berman, seeks to examine these questions as it fosters public conversation about community violence in New York and other cities through in-depth interviews with leading researchers, policymakers, practitioners, and advocates.

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In the 1970s and 1980s, New York City was an international symbol of chaos and disorder, with many observers concluding that the city had become “ungovernable.” That all changed in the early 1990s. Violent crime in New York City plummeted, with the number of murders reduced by close to 90 percent from its high of more than 2,200 in 1990. By the second decade of this millenium, it had never been safer to live, work, or visit New York City.

Of course, no one is throwing ticker-tape parades for the criminal justice system at the moment. Recent years have been dominated by Black Lives Matter protests, which shined a spotlight on the enduring legacies of racism in the American justice system. These protests have added fuel to a number of local political movements—to close Rikers Island, to halt the building of new jails, and to defund the police.

These developments serve as backdrop for a disconcerting increase in the number of shootings in New York City. What is driving this trend, and what can be done to halt or reverse it? Mr. Berman will explore these questions through this HFG series examining community violence in New York City and other metropolitan areas.


David Weisburd
August 18, 2021

“Evidence Doesn’t Seem to Play a Key Role”: A Conversation with David Weisburd

David Weisburd, the criminologist who led definitive research on “hot spots” policing in the 1990s, says that police should continue to focus their efforts on the places where crime is most concentrated using tactics that will not harm the residents of those areas.

In a wide-ranging conversation with HFG’s Greg Berman, Dr. Weisburd discusses his research and developments in the field amid calls for law enforcement reform in the Black Lives Matter era.

“There is a lot of talk about changing policing, but there is often little investment in programs that go beyond traditional enforcement efforts.”  –  David Weisburd

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Dr. Caterina G. Roman
July 16, 2021

“You Can Reduce Violence But Harm People”: A Conversation with Caterina Roman

Caterina Roman, a professor of criminal justice at Temple University, says we need to be concerned about the spike in homicides seen in New York City and other cities over the past year.

In her interview with HFG Distinguished Fellow of Practice Greg Berman, Roman calls for more research into violence prevention programs, including “focused deterrence” policing strategies.

“It would be great if policymakers and politicians would … say, ‘We are optimistic that we can make longer term change, and we’re going to do it by investing in neighborhood infrastructure. We’re going to do this, we’re going to tell you where the money’s going, and we’re going to measure the incremental change over time.’” –  Caterina Roman

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Dr. Shani Buggs
June 10, 2021

“True Equity Means Everyone’s Life Has Equal Value”: A Conversation with Shani Buggs

Dr. Shani Buggs, a national expert on gun violence, is assistant professor with the Violence Prevention Research Program at the University of California, Davis. She earned her doctorate in health and public policy at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and worked with the Baltimore mayor’s office and police department on violence reduction strategies and policies.

She spoke with HFG’s Distinguished Fellow of Practice Greg Berman about the recent spike in gun violence in New York and other cities.

“Individuals carry today because it’s better to be caught with a gun than to be caught without a gun. People carry weapons because they perceive that the system doesn’t keep them safe.” –  Dr. Shani Buggs

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Richard Aborn
May 13, 2021

“We’re Losing a Sense of Accountability”: A Conversation with Richard Aborn

Richard M. Aborn is president of the Citizens Crime Commission of New York City which works with law enforcement, government agencies, community-based organizations, and academia to improve public safety through innovation. The former prosecutor spoke with HFG’s Distinguished Fellow of Practice Greg Berman about the current spike in violence in New York City and the need for more research into the trend.

“I’m concerned about whether this de-emphasis on accountability has signaled that we’re taking our foot off the gas on violent crime. If you commit violent crimes, the system should respond.” – Richard Aborn

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Marlon Peterson
April 8, 2021

“People Who Do Harmful Things Are Reacting to Harmful Things”: A Conversation with Marlon Peterson

Marlon Peterson is the author of Bird Uncaged: An Abolitionist’s Freedom Song and host of the podcast Decarcerated. After serving a ten year prison sentence for his involvement in an armed robbery that resulted in the deaths of two people, he helped implement Save Our Streets Brooklyn, New York’s first Cure Violence program, which trains credible messengers from the community to help interrupt violence on the streets of Brooklyn. He talks with Greg Berman about his unique history, his take on what’s going on in New York at the moment, and his predictions for the future.

“When somebody decides to pick up a gun, it’s because there’s something inside that they’re dealing with … Issues with trauma are always at the root before somebody picks up a gun.” – Marlon Peterson

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Dr. Jeffrey A. Butts
March 2, 2021

“Social Disruptions Reveal Who We Are”: A Conversation with Jeffrey Butts

Jeffrey Butts, the director of the Research and Evaluation Center at John Jay College, talks with Greg Berman about the recent spike in homicides during the pandemic in New York and other cities. Dr. Butts discusses the analysis of administrative data to understand patterns of violence and what violence interventions work to reduce violence. He says we need to look beyond law enforcement tactics to prevent violence.

“Anyone who thinks that the way to improve public safety is to invest in law enforcement is just pushing us further down the path toward a police state, where the only public safety we have is purchased and maintained through force and coercion.” – Jeffrey Butts

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